Back Matter

Back MatterSource: Operations Research, Vol. 23, No. 3 (May - Jun., 1975), pp. 602-ixPublished by: INFORMSStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/169714 .

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Announcement

1975 Apr. 30-May 2 Chicago, IL Palmer House Chairman: WILLIAM IPIERSKALLA, Dept. of Indus. Engr., Northwestern Univ.,

Evanston, IL 60201

Nov. 17-19 Las Vegas, NE MGM Grand Hotel Chairman: PAUL RANDOLPH, Department of Industrial Engineering,

Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50010 1976 Mar. 31-Apr. 2 Philadelphia, PA Sheraton Hotel

Chairman: BERNARD ROSENMAN, 8615 Hull Drive, Philadelphia, PA 19118

Nov. 3-6 Miami Beach, FL Americana Hotel Chairman: ROBERT BRASWELL, Dept. of Indus. & Systems Engr., Univ. of

Florida, Gainesville, FL 32601

1977 May 9-11 San Francisco, CA San Francisco Hilton Chairman: DAVID SCHRADY, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA 93940

Nov. 6-9 Atlanta, GA Peach Tree Center Plaza Hotel Chairman: JERRY BANKS, 535 High Brook Drive NE, Atlanta, GA 30342



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1. REDESIGNING THE FUTURE: A SYSTEMS APPROACH TO SOCIETAL PROBLEMS, by Russell L. Ackoff, The Wharton School A unique analysis of the change from the machine to systems age. Gives you strategies for working with all kinds of problems-race, crime, health, waste dis- posal, transportation, etc. 1974 260 pp. $10.95

2. PLANNING ON UNCERTAINTY: DECISION MAKING IN BUSINESS AND GOVERNMENT ADMINISTRATION, by Ruth P. Mack, Institute of Public Adminis- tration A three-stage approach showing you how to cut the costs of uncertainty. A con- venient 80-point checklist shows you other specific ways of cutting uncertainty costs. 1971 233 pp. illus. $14.50

3. FORECASTING METHODS FOR MANAGEMENT, by Steven C.Wheel- wright, Harvard University, and Spyros Makridakis, European Institute of Business Administration, France A practical applications approach introducing you to modern forecasting techniques. Includes the use of filtering, multiple regression and correlation, data ac- quisition techniques, and others. Illustrations simplify applications.

1973 241 pp. illus. $16.75

4. AN EXECUTIVE'S GUIDE TO FORECASTING, by John C. Chambers, Xerox Corporation, Satinder K. Mullick and Donald D. Smith, both of Corning Glass Works Shows decision makers: how to apply the forecast, how forecasting techniques are applied throughout the life cycle of a product, ways of evaluating techniques, and more. 1974 308 pp. $14.95

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1973 205 pp. $14.95 6. DESIGNING FREEDOM, by Stafford Beer, International Consultant

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V



JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

June 1975 Table of Contents APPLICATIONS

Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions (Invited Paper) ........ ..........Robin M. Hogarth Natural Fertility, Population Cycles and the Spectral Analysis of Births and Marriages . Ronald Demos Lee Analyzing the Decision-Making Process of the American Jury

Alan E. Gelfand and Herbert Solomon Data Analysis Using Stein's Estimator and Its Generalizations .....Bradley Efron and Carl Morris The Predictive Sample Reuse Method with Applications .................. Seymour Geisser Use of the Randomized Response Technique with a New Randomizing Device

P. T. Liu, L. P. Chow and W. H. Mosley An Algorithm for the Binomial Distribution with Dependent Trials .Daniel W. Ladd Mortality-Air Pollution Relationships: A Comment .V. Kerry Smith Tables for Comparing Two Normal Variances or Two Gamma Means . S. John

THEORY AND METHODS An Analytical Comparison of Certainty Equivalence and Sequential Updating . R. Harkema A Bayesian Sequential Procedure for Quantal Response to the Context of Adaptive Mental Testing ...... .......... Roger J. Owen A Secretary Problem with Finite Memory ...........................M. H. Smith and J. J. Deely Population-Distributed Personal Probabilities ........ ........... James Dickey and Peter Freeman An Iterative Reclassification Procedure for Constructing an Asymptotically Optimal Rule of Allocation in Discriminant Analysis ......... ......................... G. J. McLachlan A Bayesian Analysis of a Switching Regression Model; I: Known Number of Regimes

Pedro E. Ferreira Residual Optimality: Ordinary vs. Weighted vs. Biased Least Squares . R. L. Obenchain Estimating Heteroscedastic Variances in Linear Models

Susan D. Horn, Roger A. Horn and David B. Duncan Stable Distributions in Statistical Inference: 2. Information from Stably Distributed Samples

W. H. DuMouchel Life Tests with Periodic Change in Failure Rate-Grouped Observations .T. N. Srivastava Improved Estimation of Expected Life when One Identified Spurious Observation May be Present

James R. Veale Exact Variance of Combined Inter and Intra-Block Estimates in Incomplete Block Designs

C. G. Khatri and K. R. Shah A Monte Carlo Evaluation of Some Ridge-Type Estimators

Gary C. McDonald and Diane I. Galarneau Estimation with Incompletely Specified Loss Functions .Lawrence D. Brown One Step Huber Estimates in the Linear Model . P. J. Bickel On the Robustness of Some Tests of Significance in Sampling from a Compound Normal Population

K. Subrahmaniam, K. Subrahmaniam and J. Y. Messeri The Bias in the Estimator of the Kendall's Rank Correlation when Extreme Pairs Are Removed from a Sample .Sandra A. West A Multivariate Extension of Friedman's xr2-Test with Random Covariates . Thomas M. Gerig Double Sample Tests for the Mean of a Normal Population . John D. Spurrier and John E. Hewett Optimum Double Sampling Tests of Given Strength I. The Normal Distribution . A. Hald A Two-Stage Procedure for the Behrens-Fisher Problem .B. K. Ghosh On the Distribution of the Difference of Two t-Variables .B. K. Ghosh On Bounding Moments from Grouped Data ....... ......... Joseph L. Gastwirth and Abba Krieger Most Stringent Bounds on Aggregated Probabilities of Partially Specified Dependent Probability Systems ....... .............. Seymour M. Kwerel On Independence of Sample Mean and Translation Invariant Statistics of Samples from Multivariate Normal Populations .. ............... J. P. Basu, P. L. Odell, T. 0. Lewis and A. Kinderman Book Reviews

For further information, please contact American Statistical Association

806 15th Street, N. W. Washington, D. C. 20005



ana l fsisfor decision making (~.. x 5 The "decision tree" approach... in a self-study, executive \4j~J program ... on audio cassettes with coordinated books ... taught

by Howard Raiffa, Harvard University... for use as a refresher ... for staff training ... as orientation for operating management. Topics covered: Decision trees; revision of probabilities in light of new information; Bayes' Formula and tree-flipping; strategies; the value of information; quantification of non-monetary values; sensitivity analysis; utility theory; the determination of judgmental probabilities; conversion from point to probabilistic forecasts; the fractile method for assessing uncertain quantities.

-------------------------------------------- Send today for full details.------------------------------------------------

Encyclopaedia Britannica Educational Corporation/Management Educational Dept. 2G 425 North Michigan Avenue, Chicago, Illinois 60611 Please send me further information on Analysis for Decision Making.

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Vii



Publications in E

Operations Research Series Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. under the sponsorship of the Operations Research Society of America PORS Prc uniy Total

No. Price Quantity Price

1 Queues, Inventories and Maintenance by Philip Morse, 1958, 202 pages .$ 8.95

3 Efficiency in Government Through Systems Analysis by Roland N. McKean, 1958, 336 pages .$12.50

5 Progress in Operations Research-Volume I, edited by Russell L. Ackoff, 1961, 505 pages .$14.95

9 Progress in Operations Research-Volume II, edited by David B. Hertz, McKinsey & Co., Inc. and Robert T. Ed- dison, 1964, 455 pages .$13.50

10 Decision and Value Theory by Peter Fishburn, 1964, 451 pages .$17.50

12 Operations Research in Sellers' Competition by S. Sankar Sengupta, 1967, 228 pages .$10.50

14 Mathematical Models of Arms Control and Disarm- ament by Thomas L. Saaty, 1968, 190 pages. .. $10.95

15 The Proceedings of the Fourth International Conference on Operational Research edited by David B. Hertz and Jacques Melese, 1969, 1092 pages .$24.95

16 Progress in Operations Research-Volume III: 0. R. and the Computer edited by Julius Aronofsky, 1969, 561 pages .$18.75

17 Introduction to Systems Cost-Effectiveness by Karl Seiler, III, 1969, 108 pages .$ 9.95

18 Utility Theory for Decision Making by Peter C. Fish- burn, 1970, 234 pages .$13.95

19 The Implementation of Operations Research: A Study of Man-Machine Simulation by Jan H. B. Huysmans, 1970, 240 pages .$11.95

20 The Challenge to Systems Analysis: Public Policy and Social Change by Grace J. Kelleher, 1970, 150 pages ... $ 9.95

21 Quantitative Theories in Advertising by Ambar G. Rao, 1970, 103 pages $10.95

22 Simulation in Human Systems, Decision Making in Psy- chotherapy by Richard Bellman and Charlene Paule Smith, 1973, 205 pages $13.95

Subtotal

Less 25% discount to ORSA members

TOTAL

Please send your check, made payable to John Wiley & Sons, Inc. to Operations Research Society of America

428 East Preston Street Baltimore, Maryland 21202



TECHNOMETRICS Volume 17, No. 2, May 1975

CONTENTS EXPERIMENTAL DESIGNS FOR QUADRATIC MODELS IN CONSTRAINED MIXTURE

SPACES .....,...Ronald D. Snee A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF A MULTIPLICATIVE TREATMENT EFFECT IN

WEATHER MODIFICATION. Anthony R. Olsen, Joanne Simpson, and Jane C. Eden

THE ESTIMATION OF COHERENCE, FREQUENCY RESPONSE, AND ENVELOPE

DELAY .William S. Cleveland and Emanual Parzen

POISSON PARAMETER ESTIMATION WITH ARBITRARY FACTORS OF PROPORTIONALITY

AND ARBITRARY POINTS OF LEFT TRUNCATION .Nathan Mantel THE VALIDITY OF PORTABLE POWER ........................... R. E. Wheeler STUDENTIZED RANGE GRAPH PAPER-A GRAPHICAL TOOL FOR THE COMPARISON

OF TREATMENT MEANS .Paul I. Feder AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF THE HALF-NORMAL PLOT .Douglas A. Zahn MODIFICATIONS OF AND REVISED CRITICAL VALUES FOR THE HALF-NORMAL

PLOT Douglas A. Zahn SUBSET AUTOREGRESSION James T. McClave ON THE DETECTION OF MANY OUTLIERS Bernard Rosner SAMPLE SIZE CALCULATIONS IN EXPONENTIAL LIFE TESTING . Subhash C. Narula and

Franz S. Li CONDITIONAL CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR THE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL

DISTRIBUTION PARAMETERS Russell F. Kappenman A GOODNESS-OF-FIT TEST FOR THE Two PARAMETER VS. THREE PARAMETER

WEIBULL; CONFIDENCE BOUNDS FOR THRESHOLD Nancy R. Mann and Kenneth W. Fertig

MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION FOR THE THREE PARAMETER WEIBULL

DISTRIBUTION BASED ON CENSORED SAMPLES G. H. Lemon CONSTRUCTION OF TOLERANCE BOUNDS FOR THE EXTREME-VALUE AND WEIBULL

DISTRIBUTIONS. J. F. Lawless SOME DISTRIBUTIONS OF TIME TO FAILURE FOR RELIABILITY

APPLICATIONS ...Ronald V. Canfield and L. E. Borgman

BOOK REVIEWS

LETTER TO THE EDITOR

TECHNOMETRICS is published quarterly in February, May, August, and November by the TECHNOMETRICS Management Committee of the American Society for Quality Control and the American Statistical Association.

The annual subscription rate for members of the American Society for Quality Control or the American Statistical Association is $10.00 a year. The annual subscription rate for non- members is $15.00 a year. Inquiries should be addressed to: TECHNOMETRICS, Post Of- fice Box 587, Benjamin Franklin Station, Washington, D.C. 20044.

ix



URBAN SYSTEMS MODELS by WALTER HELLY, Polytechnic Institute of New York

A Volume in the OPERATIONS RESEARCH AND INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING Series

By combining the traditional applied mathematics (such as calculus, probability, linear models) with the rapidly growing specialized research literature on techniques for urban analysis, this book develops mathematical tools for analyzing population, land use, transportation networks, public facility siting, and resource allocation in congested

urban environments. And it provides many illustrations and problems which can be used as a partial substitute for actual field experience. CONTENTS: Introduction. Population. Economy. Land and Its Development. Transportation Network. Congestion at Bottlenecks. Location of Public Facilities. Allocation of Public Resources.

1975, 200 pp., $16.50/J27.90

STOCHASTIC OPTIMIZATION MODELS IN FINANCE

edited by W. T. ZIEMBA and R. G. VICKSON

A Volume in the ECONOMIC THEORY AND MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS Series

This book fills the need for a thorough account of the mathematical and economic theory relevant to stochastic optimization of models of financial problems that involve uncertainty. Almost every article presents a significant methodological advance of lasting in- terest for teaching and research in finance. The book is divided into five

parts-Mathematical Tools; Qualitative Economic Results; Static Portfolio Selec- tion Models; Dynamic Models Reducible to Static Models; and Dynamic Models; each part opens with a detailed, co- hesive introduction and includes computational and review exercises, to test and widen understanding.

1975, 744 pp., $24.50/f2I 1.75

INTRODUCTION TO DISCRETE- LINEAR CONTROLS: Theory and Application

by A. B. BISHOP, The Ohio State University

A Volume in the OPERATIONS RESEARCH AND INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING Series

Here is a book for those interested in the design, analysis, and operation of discrete-time decision processes. It intro- duces the basic theory of discrete, linear controls in a simple and straight-forward manner and covers the necessary tools and techniques to deal with such systems.

Noteworthy features of the volume include: direct introduction to discrete-time systems; basic material in discrete

mathematics for those who need it; a simplified format in which basic theory and applications are reviewed in the context of two or three fundamental (but general) control systems: explicit coverage of the effects of sampling and instru- mentation errors on system performance and the design of controllers; exercises at the end of each chapter which extend the material presented in the text.

1975, 350 pp., $29.50/?C14.15 Prices subject to change without notice.

Academic Press A Subsidiary of Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, Publishers

111 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK, NEW YORK 10003 24-28 OVAL ROAD, LONDON NW1 7DX



CONTENTS (Continued)

Turning Off a Server with Customers Present: Is This Any Way to Run an M/M/c Queue with Removable Servers?...........

Colin E. Bell 571

On the Stochastic Ordering of 1'Jarkov Chains.................. Cyrus Derman and Edward Ignall 574

Multidimensional Sequencing Rule .............. Thomas L. Morin 576

Solving Constrained i\Iulti-facility Location Problems Involving lp Distances Using Convex Programming!...................

Robert F. Love and James G. Morrns 581

Comment on "The Random Nature of Stock-Market Prices" Authored by Barrett and Wright ............. Donald Aucamp 587

Probabilistic Analysis of a Single-Server n-Unit System with (n-i) Warm Standbys ............................. M. N. Gopalan 591

LETTER TO THE EDITOR An Interesting Test Problem for Nonlinear Programming Algo-

rithms ......................... Frank J. Cesario 599

Announcement ......... 602



Operations Research VOLUME 23, NUMBER 3, MAY-JUNE 1975

CONTENTS The BOXSTEP Method for Large-Scale Optimization...............

R. E. Marsten, W. W. Hogan, and J. W. Blankenship 389

The Accelerated Bound-and-Scan Algorithm for Integer Programming Bruce H. Faaland and Frederick S. Hillier 406

Estimates and Bounds on Computational Effort in the Accelerated Bound-and-Scan Algorithm ................. Bruce H. Faaland 426

Surrogate Constraint Duality in Mathematical Programming....... Fred Glover 434

Measures of Effectiveness for Crime Reduction Programs.......... Michael D. Maltz 452

On Scheduling with Ready Times and Due Dates to Minimize M\laxi- mum Lateness ...... Graham McMahon and Michael Florian 475

Controlling Cutting Pattern Changes in One-Dimensional Trim Problems ......... Robert W. Haessler 483

A Chance Constrained Multiple Choice Programming Algorithm.... Ronald D. Armstrong and Joseph L. Balintfy 494

A Linear Fractional iMax-Min Problem......................... W. D. Cook, M. J. L. Kirby, and S. L. Mehndiratta 511

Force-Ratio Considerations for Some Lanchester-Type Mlodels of Warfare ......... James Taylor and Samuel H. Parry 522

Probabilistic Analysis of a System with Two Dissimilar Units Subject to Preventive Maintenance and a Single Service Facility.......

M. N. Gopalan and C. A. D'Souza 534

TECHNICAL NOTES Optimality Conditions and Recession Cones......................

Robert A. Abrams and Adi Ben-Israel 549

A Stopping Criterion for the Golden-Ratio Search................ Byron S. Gottfried 553

Vertex Generation and Cardinality Constrained Linear Programs.... David S. Rubin 555

On the Generalized Lattice Point Problem and Nonlinear Pro- gramming ..... A. Victor Cabot 565

Continued on inside back cover



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