Commerce Journal - Vol 14 No 1

8/13/2019 Commerce Journal - Vol 14 No 1

1/64

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Vol: 14, No:2 Monday Jan 13 2014 1


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Vol: 14, No:2 Monday Jan 13 20142


3/64


4/64



Source: riceonline.com

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Source: riceonline.com

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5/64


Vol: 14, No:2 Monday Jan 13 2014 5Export Commodity Market

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6/64



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ukvm;yJaps;EIef;rsm;udk ESpfqef;ydkif; aps;EIef;rsm;avhvmMunhf&mrSm 2012 ckESpf? ESpfqef;ydkif;aps;xuf2013 ckESpf? ESpfqef;ydkif;rSm aps;ydk&cJhaomfvnf; ,ck2014 ckESpf? ESpfqef;ydkif;rSmawmh,cifESpfxufaps;avsmhoGm;cJhNyD; wpfwif; 15200 usyfom ta&mif;t0,fjzpfcJhygw,f/ 2012 ckESpfrSm yJwpfwif; 17500 usyfxd&&SdcJhNyD; 2013 ckESpf? ESpfqef;rSmwpfwif; 19000 usyfjzifh,cifESpfuxuf aps;ydk&cJhaomfvnf; 2014 ckESpfrSm,cifESpfrsm;uxufaps;avsmhenf; ta&mif;t0,fjzpfcJhwmudkawGY&ygw,f/

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cifaqG0if;-jynfcifaqG0if;-jynfcifaqG0if;-jynfcifaqG0if;-jynfcifaqG0if;-jynf

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yJtrsdK;tpm; 2012 Zefe0g&Dv 2013 Zefe0g&Dv 2014 Zefe0g&DvedrfU jrifU edrfU jrifU edrfU jrifU

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rEav;vkdif;orm;t0,fvkdufaewJUjynfyJwDpdrf;

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MunfE kdifOD ; - tif;awmfMunfE kdifOD ; - tif;awmfMunfE kdifOD ; - tif;awmfMunfE kdifOD ; - tif;awmfMunfE kdifOD ; - tif;awmf

awmifolrsm; pdkufysKd;oifUwUJoD;nyfajraxmufyJ


7/64


Vol: 14, No:2 Monday Jan 13 2014 7Export Commodity Market

eEGif;csif; eEGif;csif;

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0if;0if;ckdif - jynf0if;0if;ckdif - jynf0if;0if;ckdif - jynf0if;0if;ckdif - jynf0if;0if;ckdif - jynf

t0ifat; ta&mif;t0,fat;aewJU jynfcsif;aps;uGuf

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{{ckdif - awmifBuD;{{ckdif - awmifBuD;{{ckdif - awmifBuD;{{ckdif - awmifBuD;{{ckdif - awmifBuD;

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MIRT (DOT)

csif; ydkhtm;aumif; 'DZifbmvrSm eEGif; 35 wefom wifydkhEkdif

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35 wefjzpfw,fvdkYod&ygw,f/vcsKyftaeeJY Munfhr,fqkd&if 'DZifbmvtwGif;

eEGif;pkpkaygif;wifydkYrIrSm 35 wef&SdcJhNyD; Ekd0ifbmv&JUeEGif;wifydkYrIrSm 141 wef&SdcJhwmaMumihf'DZifbmvrSmeEGif;wifykdYrIavsmhcJhygw,f/

MIRT (DOT)

ta&mif;yg;cJUwJUeEGif;jyefvnfta&mif;t0,fjzpf

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wefcGJomwifydkUcJhygw,f/ eEGif;wufwpfwefudkrdrdzufaps; 1507000 usyfrS1523000 usyfaps;0ef;usif&Sdygw,f/ ,cifh,ciftywfrsm;u ta&mif;t0,fat;NyD;aps;usaewJh&Srf;eEGif;awG ,cktywfrSmaps;uGufwGifjyefvnfta&mif;t0,fjzpfaeNyD;ukeft0ifr&SdoavmufjzpfaevdkU yGJHkvufusefrsm;eJUom ta&mif;t0,fjzpfaew,fvdkU bk&ifhaemifukefpnf'kdifrSod&ygw,f/

armfarmfatmifarmfarmfatmifarmfarmfatmifarmfarmfatmifarmfarmfatmif MIRT (DCCA)

rlq,f0,fvufjyef0,fvmwJU[kdykH;? eEGif;aps;uGuf

'DESpftpykdif;rSm &Srf;eEGif;uvnf; ta&mif;t0,f

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awmhtywfpOfvkdvkdcsif;eJYtwla&m0,fNyD;? avSmifxm;

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{{ckdif - awmifBuD;{{ckdif - awmifBuD;{{ckdif - awmifBuD;{{ckdif - awmifBuD;{{ckdif - awmifBuD;

csif;refusnf;

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8/64



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9/64


Vol: 14, No:2 Monday Jan 13 2014 9Currency, Gold & Oil Market News

World Gold Price

Jan , 2014 (USD/OZ)

D at e N Y London Zurich

6 1241 1242 1238

7 1243 1242 1239

8 1227 1226 1225

9 1227 1226 1225

10 1234 1234 1231

Domestic Gold Price

CurrencyExchange Rate

CurrencyExchange Rate

Energy NYMEX 10-1-2014Price C han ge Change %

WTI Crude Future (USD/bbl.) 92.57 0.92 1.00

Brent Crude Futr (USD/bbl) 106.84 0.45 0.42

Gasoline Rbob Fut (Cent/gal) 265.20 0.43 0.16

Natural Gas Futr (USD/MMBtu) 4. 10 0. 01 0. 12

Heating Oil Futr (Cent/gal) 293.21 1.07 0.37

World Metal Price (US$)

January 10, 2014

Base Currency isUnited States Dollar - USD

Currency Unit Units per USD

AUD Australia Dollars 1.12

BDT Bangladesh Taka 77.70

CAD Canada Dollars 1.08

CNY China Yuan Renminbi 6 .05

EUR Euro 0.73

HKD H ong Kong Dollars 7.75

INR India Rupees 61.95

IDR Indones ia Rup ia hs 12087 .74

JPY Japan Yen 104.99

MYR Malaysia 3.27

PKR Pakistan Rupees 105.48

P HP Philippines Pesos 44.71

RUB Russia Rubles 33.20

SGD Singapore Dollars 1.27

KRW S outh Korea Won 1 06 2. 98

LKR Sri Lanka Rupe 130.68

THB Thailand Baht 33.01GBP Uni ted Kingdom Pounds 0.61

VND Vietnam Dong 2107 3. 63s s

Source : xe.com

Kyats(Thousand)

Date Yangon Mandalay

6-1-14 654.90 654.60

7-1-14 655.40 655.20

8-1-14 654.10 654.30

9-1-14 653.20 653.40

10-1-14 655.50 655.00

e,fpyfaiGvJvS,fEIef;Zefe0g&Dv 2014 (1US$)

&uf wkwf xdkif; b*Fvm;a'h&Sf tdEd,(,Grf) (bwf) (wmum) (lyD;)

6 6.06 33.09 77.52 62.31

7 6.05 33.10 77.80 62.35

8 6.05 33.06 77.58 62.24

9 6.05 32.96 77.79 62.17

10 6.05 33.01 77.70 61.95

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"mwfqD^ 'DZ,f'Dwpfywf"mwffqDeJY'DZ,ft0ifem;cJh

Date Silver/Oz Zinc/Ton Aluminium/Ton Copper/Ton Platinum/Oz 6-January 20.09 2065.50 1744.51 7465.47 1403.00

7-Januaryr 20.16 2074.69 1753.70 7461.22 1417.00

8-January 19.64 2080.96 1757.73 7485.18 1408.00

9-January 19.54 2060.13 1746.08 7407.77 1414.00

10-January 19.69 2050.72 1731.07 7386.18 1419.00

Source:kitco.com

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10/64



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MIRT (DOT)

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MIRT (DOT)

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Import Commodity Market


11/64


Vol: 14, No:2 Monday Jan 13 2014 11Oil Crop Market News

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u tenf;tusOf; 0ifa&mufvmwJhtay: 0,fvufu pkaqmif; 0,f,lrI &SdcJhvdkY wpf&uftdwf 300 cefYta&mif;t0,fjzpfcJhum aygufaps;uawmhNyD;cJhwJhESpfqef;ywfutwdkif;wpfwif; 53000 usyfrSm aps;rmaew,fvdkY od&ygw,f/

ajryJqef aps;uGuftaeeJ Y,ckwpfywfrSmvnf; ausmufyef;awmif;? rauG;bufu qDqefeJYvHk;qefawGrHk&Gmukefpnf'dkifudk0ifa&mufrI&SdcJhNyD; aps;uGufrSmawmh vHk;qefxufqDqefu ta&mif;t0,fydkjzpfw,fvdkYukefonfawGuajymygw,f/,ckwpfywfajryJqDqefaps;uGufrSmwpfydm 1500 usyfrS1530 usyf0ef;usifaygufcJhNyD; a'owGif; vkyfief; oHk;twGuf0,fvdktm;aumif;cJhvdkY wpf&ufydm 5000 rS10000

a&wGufyHk - a':vma&wGufyHk - a':vma&wGufyHk - a':vma&wGufyHk - a':vma&wGufyHk - a':vmpOfpO fpOfpO fpOf aeYpGJ aeYpGJ aeYpGJ aeYpGJ aeYpGJ CIF (&efukef)(&efukef)(&efukef)(&efukef)(&efukef)(1) 6-1-2014 865(2) 7-1-2014 870(3) 8-1-2014 865(4) 9-1-2014 850(5) 10-1-2014 850

Source: qDukefonfrsm;toif;qDukefonfrsm;toif;qDukefonfrsm;toif;qDukefonfrsm;toif;qDukefonfrsm;toif;

pm;tkef;qDaps;EIef;rsm;(6-1-2014 rS10-1-2014 aehxd)

jrefrm-wkwfe,fpyf&Sdrlq,f105 rdkifukefoG,fa&;ZkefrS2014 ckESpfZefe0g&Dv yxrywfrSm uefa':vm 2 'or 291 oef;wefzdk;&SdESrf;a&mifpHk1188 wefausmfwifydkYcJh&m,cktywfwGifESrf;jzL (tcGHcRwf) 225wefeD;yg; wifydkYEdkifcJhygw,f/ ,ciftywfu ESrf;jzL (tcGHcRwf) 85 wef

om wifydkYcJhvdkU,cktywfESrf;jzL (tcGHcRwf) wifydkYrIwef140 ydkrdkcJhygw,f/wifydkYcJhwJh ESrf;a&mifpHkawGuawmhESrf;euf 361 wefcGJ? ESrf;jzL 323wefausmf? ESrf;dk261 wefcGJ? ESrf;jzL(tcGHcRwf) 225 wefeD;yg;eJU ESrf;eD dk(tcGHcRwf)17 wefwdkUjzpfygw,f/ ,cktywfcsif;a&Ta[mfpcef;rSESrf;wifydkYrI

r&Sdwm awGU&ygw,f/ rlq,fukefpnf'dkifrSmvnf; ,ciftywfu ESrf;jzL^ESrf;eufwpfwef&JU rdrdbufaygufaps;2281545 usyf&Sd&mrS ,cktywf2255868usyfodkYtenf;i,fusqif;oGm;ygw,f/armfarmfatmifarmfarmfatmifarmfarmfatmifarmfarmfatmifarmfarmfatmifMIRT (DCCA)

Mum; ta&mif;t0,fjzpfvsuf&Sdw,fvdkYod&ygw,f/ vHk;qefaps;uGufrSmawmhqm;avSmfzdkeJYtaMumfvkyfief;orm;awGom yHkrSef0,f,lrI&SdcJhNyD;?wpfwif; 26500 usyfeJYwpfywfvHk;aps;jidrfcJhum wpfaeYwif; 300 0ef;usifta&mif;t0,fjzpfaew,fvdkYqDxGufoD;ESH&yfuGufuqdkygw,f/

,ckwpfywfpm;oHk;qDaps;uGufrSmawmh yJqD[m wpfydm2900usyfrS2850usyfudkaps;tenf;i,fusoGm;NyD;? ESrf;qDuawmhwpfydm5000 usyfrSm aps;rmaewmawGY&ygw,f/ pm;tkef;qDaps;uGufrSm wpfydm 1670 usyfrS 1630 usyfodkYaps;tenf;i,fusoGm;NyD;? qHkqDvdkif;uawmhyHkrSefaps;rsm;eJY0,fvdka&mif;vdktm; rQaew,fvdkYavhvmod&Sd&ygw,f/ xGef;vdIif-rHk&Gm xGef;vdIif-rHk&Gm xGef;vdIif-rHk&Gm xGef;vdIif-rHk&Gm xGef;vdIif-rHk&Gm

yJykyfjynfyJykyfavSmifvuform; t0,fvdkufvsuf&Sd

jynfyJaps;uGufukdyJykyfopfrsm;t0ifrsm;vmovkdavSmifvuform;eJY&efukef0,fvuft0,fvkdufaew,fvdkY od&ygw,f/ aygufacgif;?yef;awmif;NrdKUe,frsm;rS trsm;qkH;0ifa&mufcJhNyD;? t&nftaoG;ay:rlwnfum wpfwif; 18500 usyfrS19000 usyfxdaps;ay;0,f,lvsuf&SdcJhygw,f/tdwf150 ausmf0ifa&mufcJhNyD;? ZD;ukef;? ewfwvif;NrdKUe,frsm;rSavSmifvuform;rsm; vma&muf0,f,lrI&SdwJhtwGufta&mif;t0,foGufcJhw,fvdkYod&ygw,f/


rav;&Sm;pm;tkef;qDtywfpOfysrf;rQ(FOB)aps;EIef;

Source: econ.mpob

10-1-2014 US$/Ton

trsdK;tpm; 'DZifbmv pwkw ywf Zefe0g&Dv yxryw f E dIif;,SOfcsufRBD P.Oil 792 .50 796 .50RBD P.Olein 794 .50 815 .50RBD P.Strarin 820 .00 817 .50

Source: mirt-dotp

jynfwGif;qDaps;EIef;rsm; (10-1-2014) usyf^ydm

NrdKUtrnf yJqD ESrf;qD pm;tkef;qD, cif ,ck E dIif;,SOfcsuf ,cif ,ck EdIif;,SOfcsuf ,cif ,ck EdIif;,SOfcsuf

aejynfawmf (ysOf;rem;) 3500 3500 4000 4000 1700 1700

&efukef 3400 3300 5400 5400 1535 1480

rEav; 2600 2650 4600 4600 1640 1600

yJcl; 2500 2500 4800 4800 1600 1580

rauG; 2800 2800 5100 5100 1650 1620

rHk&Gm 2950 2850 5000 5000 1670 1630

awmifBuD; 2400 2400 2400 2400 1800 1800

ppfawG 3400 3400 3200 3200 2000 2000

rSwfcsuf//awmifBuD;ESrf;qDrSm yef;ESrf;qDjzpfygonf/

jynfyrSwifoGif;vmaom pm;tkef;qDrsm; &efukefqdyfurf;ta&muf

wpfydmt&if;aps;wGufcsufyHk (10 - 1 -2014 )aehtaMumif;t&m wGufcsufEIef; wpfydmukefusp&dwf (usyf)

Cloud Point 8.CMax

CIF aps; (CIFx Earning)/ 612 1370 .83FDA axmufcHpm 58 .20/ 612 0 .10oGif;ukefvdkifpifaMu; 50/ 612 0 .08L/C p&dwf (CIF x 0.25% x Earning)/612 3 .43Bill p&dwf (CIF x 0.50% x Earning )/612 6 .85pm;tkef;qDtavsmU 0.5% x vufum;aps; 7 .40qDuefodkavSmifxdef;odrf;c 5/ -1% 4 .95ukefoG,fvkyfief;cGef (CIF x USD x 5%) 612 79 .35qdyfurf;cGef (50000/ 1000) 612 0 .08

MITS ppfaq;c (FDAtygt0if) 0 .60tcGefvsmxm; (CIF x 35/-)/ 612 48 .62qdyfurf;uyfc (3x Earning )/ 612 4 .84

&efukefqdyfurf;ta&muft&if;aps; 1527 .13

rSwfcsufrSwfcsufrSwfcsufrSwfcsufrSwfcsuf/ 1/ txufygwGufcsufrIrSm (10 - 1 -2014)aeY (CIFaps;Cloud Point 8

.C Max 870 a':vm? FOB 825 ESifh

Earning aps; 987 usyf) jzifhwGufcsufxm;jcif; jzpfygonf/2/ (10 - 1 - 2014)aeY0,f,llNyD;aemuf (10) &ufcefYtMum

&efukef qdyfurf;a&muf&Sdrnfhaps;jzpfygonf/3/ wifoGif;vmaom ukrPD\ tjrwf? qdyfurf;rS jzefYjzL;rnfh

aps;uGufta&mufo,f,lp&dwf? vkyfom;c? vufvDqkdifrsm;\ tjrwfrsm; ryg0ifao;yg/

4/ aiGvJEIef;wpfa':vmudkA[dkbPfrS EIef;&SifowfrSwfonfh

twGufa':vmaps; 981 usyfjzifhwGufcsufxm;ygonf/5/ ukefoG,f vkyfief;cGefrSm ,cifokn&mcdkifEIef;jzpfNyD; ,ck 5

&mcdkifEIef; jzpfygonf/6/ qdyfurf;uyfcrSm ,cifaumufcHjcif; r&Sdyg/ ,ckwpfwefvQif

tar&duef3 a':vmEIef; aumufcHygojzifhxnfhoGif;wGufcsufygonf/

awmifBuD;aps;uGufokdhyef;ESrf;opft0ifvIdifNyD'DwpfywfawmifBuD; aps;uGuf

rSmawmhyef;ESrf;rsm; t0ifvIdifaeygw,f/ 'DESpf yef;ESrf;txGufEIef;rSmvnf; ykHrSef&Sdaeygw,f/ yef;ESrf;uZefe0g&DvrSpay:wmqdkayrJh'DZifbmv wwd,ywfupNyD;? enf;enf;csif; p0ifaewmjzpfaeygw,f/ tcktcsdefrSmawmh[dkykH;? &yfapmuf? yif;w,? &GmiH? erfhprf? vJcsm;pwJhe,fpkHu yef;ESrf;rsm; t0ifvIdifNyD; t0if&Sdoavmufta&mif;t0,f jzpfae

w,fvdkYod&ygw,f/ yef;ESrf;qDppfppfu usef;rma&; twGufvnf;aumif;ovdktcsKdUuvnf; a&mqDtjzpftokH;jyKMuvkdYa'owGif; qDpufrsm;u tqGJrsm;ovdk rEav;?jrif;NcHbufuvnf; tqGJ&Sdaeyg

w,f/ 'DwpfywfrSm yef;ESrf;wpfydm 1030 usyfaps;&Sdygw,f/wpfywfukdukefcsdef1 odef;cefYt0if&SdaeNyD;? ta&mif;t0,fjzpfaew,fvdkYod&ygw,f/

S.Y.H- awmifBuD;- awmifBuD;- awmifBuD;- awmifBuD;- awmifBuD;


12/64


13/64



tD;,ltzGJU0ifEdkifiHrsm;wGif za,mif;wdkifonf "avhxkH;wrf; tpOf

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jrefrmoHkH;rsm;rSay;ydkhaom pD;yGm;a&;owif;rsm;jrefrmoHkH;rsm;rSay;ydkhaom pD;yGm;a&;owif;rsm;

udk&D;,m;\ aiGazmif;yGrIESifh

twdk;EIef;qufET,fcsuftm; 2008ckESpftvGefumvvufawGUBuHKawGUcJh&onfh tajctaejzpfpOfrsm;ud katmufygtwkdif; azmfjytyfygonf-Inflation(Increased)-interest

rate (increased)-inflation (de-

creased)-interest rate (decr-

eased) -inflation (increased)

udk&D;,m;EkdifiHtaejzihf infla-tion tar geting udkqufvufudkifpGJrnfqkdygu twdk;EIef;ESihfaiGazmif;yGrIMum;qufET,frI rQwatmifxdef;xm;&efvdktyfonf/ umvwdk? umvvwfaiGazmif;yGrIcefYrSef;csuf(in-flation outlook) onfvnf; wdus

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udk&D;,m;orwEkdifiHonfif;

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tvJESihfoutput wdkYtay:rlwnftwkd;EIef;twdk;^tavsmhvkyfonf/odkYaomfudk&D;,m;wGifA[dkbPftwdk;EIef;onf2 'or 5 &mcdkifEIef;jzihf2014 ckESpf? Zefe0g&Dvtxd 8 vMumwnfNrJaeonf/ aps;uGufwGifCPI ESihfinflation rate rsm; tqkdyg8 vwmumvtwGif; tajymif;tvJrsm;jzpfay:aeaomfvnf; twdk;EIef;rSm wpforwfwnf;jzpfaeygonf/ udk&D;,m;A[kdbPfu owfrSwfxm;aom inflation tar getlevelonfvnf; rajymif;vJbJwpforwfwnf;jzpfaeojzihfvuf&SdudkifpGJxm;aom aiGaMu;ay:vpDinfla-tion tar getingonfxda&mufrItm;enf;aeaMumif;oHk;oyfawGU&Sd&ygonf/

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tD;,l\ za,mif;aps;uGufudk&D;,m;orwEdkifiH\ aiGa&; aMu;a&;ay:vpD(monetary policy)

wpfckonfinflation targeting

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usifxm;&SdvmcJhygonf/2008 ckESpfurmhb@ma&; tusyftwnf;umvuwnf;ut"dupD;yGm;a&;EkdifiHBuD;rsm;onf if;wdkY\twdk;EIef;rsm;udk oknem;xda&mufatmifESdrfhcsvmcJhMuonf/ ,if;twdk; EIef;csxm;rIonftusKd;quftm;jzihfaiGjzpfvG,frIaxmifacsmuf(liquidity trap) twGif;usqif;oGm;cJhMuonf/twdk;EIef;udkupm; aiGazmif;yGrIudk xdef;odrf;jcif;enf;vrf;a[mif;onftvkyfrjzpfawmhonfukdawGU&onf/ xkdYaMumifhtuif;yg;aom wkdif;jynfrsm;u orm;dk;usr[kwfaomaiGaMu;ay:vpDjzpfonfhQuantitative Eas-ing-QE enf; (monetary base) udk us,fjyefYvm ap&ef tpdk;&uul;oe f ;a&mi f ; 0,fa&;bPfr sm;E Si h f tjcm;y k* v duai GaMu;tzG J Utpnf;rsm;xHr S financial assests rsm;ud k0,f,lonfhenf ;vr f ;wp fr s K d ; ) ud ktoH k ; jy Kvmc J h Muonf/ aps ; uGufE Si f htqufrjywfowif; xkwfjyef jcif;ESihf A[d kbPfrSaqmif&Gufrnf hay:vpDrsm;ukdxkwfazmfaMunmjcif;rsm; jyKvkyfvnf; aps;uGufrSwHkYjyefrIrsm;udkapmifhMunftav;xm;aqmif&GufvmcJhMuonf/Table(1)Average long-term inflation in Major Economic(%)

1991~1999 2000~2008 2009~2013

US(PCE) 1.52 2.11 1.43Eurozone (HICP) 2.46 2.30 1.75

Korea(CPI) 5.42 3.16 2.61

Note:2013 data are the January-September average for the

US;January-November average for the eurozone;January-Novem-

ber average for Korea

Source:ECB,FRB of St.Louis,Bank of Korea(BOK)

Table(2)Infaltion Targeting in Marjor EconomiesAdvanced Economies Emerging Markets

US 2% Korea 2.5~3.5%

Eurozone 2% Poland 2.5%+ 1%p

UK 2% Chile 3% + 1%p

Canada 1~3% China 4%

Sweden 2% South Arica 3~6%

Australia 2~3% Russia 5~6%Source:BOK

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Asia Development Bank (ADB)

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Date post:	04-Jun-2018
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Commerce Journal - Vol 14 No 1

Documents